Secrets of Finances and Payday Loans

The high correlation between M&A activity and equity market performance clearly shows that M&A was a major driver of the equity bubble of the late 1990s. Sometimes even mergers that did not create synergies were rewarded by rising stock prices on the side of the overtaking parties. It was obvious that not every merger was [...]

Geopolitical risks like war and terror can create stress scenarios for all risky asset classes. The geopolitical situation has a strong impact on the risk aversion of investors. The events of September 11, 2001, provide a tragic example after which investors bought safe haven assets such as government bonds and gold at the cost of [...]

The corporate bond market is a leading indicator of economic activity. However, its forecasting power is obviously not perfect, because – like equity markets – credit spreads sometimes predict recessions that do not occur subsequently. After the 1987 stock market crash, for example, credit spreads widened significantly. Asimilar observation could be made in 1998, following [...]